My research interests focus mostly on the political economy of conflict, but I also study
the international politics of state capacity, the politics of sovereign debt, leaders and IR,
and the domestic politics of IR. Empirically, I am interested in statistical and causal inference.
My CV is here.
Political Economy of Conflict
“External Threats, Capacity, and Repression: How the Threat of War Affects Political Development and Physical Integrity Rights”
with Eugenia Artabe, Sam Chapa and Leah Sparkman (2023) British Journal of Political Science 53(4), 1311-1327
Replication Files, Appendix; External Threat measure
Re-examining women leaders and military spending with Ulkar Imamverdiyeva (2022) Journal of Peace Research 2022; Replication Files
“U.S. Patronage, State Capacity, and Civil Conflict” with Matthew DiGiuseppe (2022) Journal of Politics 84(2): 767–782
Replication Files; Appendix
"Alliances, signals of support, and military effort" with Matthew DiGiuseppe (2021) European Journal of International Relations 27 (4): 1067-1089
“Money Talks: Finance, War, and Great Power Politics in the 19th Century”
2020 Social Science History, 44(2), 223-249.
"War and Default" with Paul Poast, 2019 Journal of Conflict Resolution 62(9), 1876 – 1904. Replication Files, Appendix
“Borrowing Trouble: Sovereign Credit, Military Regimes, and Conflict” 2016, International Interactions 42(3), 401 – 428
Replication Files, Appendix
“Financing Victory: Credit, Democracy, and War Outcomes” 2014, Journal of Conflict Resolution, 58(5), 771 - 795
Replication Files Link, Appendix
International Politics of State Capacity
Book project: Hierarchy and State Capacity (in progress)
“External Threats, Capacity, and Repression: How the Threat of War Affects Political Developmentand Physical Integrity Rights”
with Eugenia Artabe, Sam Chapa and Leah Sparkman, (2023) British Journal of Political Science 53(4), 1311-1327
Replication Files, Appendix; External Threat measure
“U.S. Patronage, State Capacity, and Civil Conflict” with Matthew DiGiuseppe (2022) Journal of Politics 84(2): 767–782
Replication Files; Appendix
Politics of Sovereign Debt
Ethnic Politics and Sovereign Credit Risk with Kathleen Brown and Matt DiGiuseppe
forthcoming in Review of International Political Economy https://doi.org/10.1080/09692290.2023.2225143
Predicting Debt Crises with Matt DiGiuseppe
Why Cronies Don’t Cry? IMF Programs, Chinese Lending, and Leader Survival (forthcoming) Public Choice; Replication Files
"The World is Facing a Debt Crisis but Rich Countris Can Afford to Stop It" The Conversation. October 2022
“Legislative Transparency and Credit Risk” with Jeffrey J. Harden and Justin H. Kirkland
2021 in Legislative Studies Quarterly. https://doi.org/10.1111/lsq.12272
“The Devil's Haircut: Investor-State Disputes Over Debt” with Matthew DiGiuseppe 2019 Journal of Conflict Resolution, 63 (8): 1889 - 1922
Replication Files; Appendix
"Leaders and Default" with Paul Poast 2020 International Studies Quarterly, 64(2), 406–418. Replication Files; Appendix
"War and Default" with Paul Poast, 2019 Journal of Conflict Resolution 62(9), 1876 – 1904. Replication Files, Appendix
“Federalism, Fiscal Stability, and the Creditworthiness of U.S. State Governments” with Markie McBrayer and Justin Kirkland
2019 Statistics, Politics and Policy, 9(1): 1-30.
“Sovereign Credit and Political Survival in Democracies” with Matthew DiGiuseppe (2018) Business and Politics. 20 (3), 360 – 389.
*Finalist for the David P. Baron award for the best article published in BAP in 2018
"Leaders, Tenure, and the Politics of Sovereign Credit" with Jonathan A. Solis (2017) International Interactions. 44 (2), 294 - 320. Replication Materials, Appendix
“Borrowing Trouble: Sovereign Credit, Military Regimes, and Conflict” 2016, International Interactions 42(3), 401 – 428
Replication Files, Appendix
“Sovereign Credit and the Fate of Leaders: Reassessing the Democratic Advantage" 2015, with Matthew DiGiuseppe International Studies Quarterly 59 (3), 557 -570 Replication Files, Appendix
“Borrowed Time: Sovereign Finance, Regime Type and Leader Survival” 2016, with Matthew DiGiuseppe,
Economics & Politics 28(3), 342–367 Appendix
“Financing Victory: Credit, Democracy, and War Outcomes” 2014, Journal of Conflict Resolution, 58(5), 771 - 795
Replication Files Link, Appendix
Leaders
Why Cronies Don’t Cry? IMF Programs, Chinese Lending, and Leader Survival (forthcoming) Public Choice; Replication Files
"Re-examining women leaders and military spending" with Ulkar Imamverdiyeva (2022) Journal of Peace Research; Replication Files
"Leaders and Default" with Paul Poast 2020 International Studies Quarterly, 64(2), 406–418. Replication Files; Appendix
"Leaders, Tenure, and the Politics of Sovereign Credit" with Jonathan A. Solis (2017) International Interactions. 44 (2), 294 - 320. Replication Materials, Appendix
“Sovereign Credit and the Fate of Leaders: Reassessing the Democratic Advantage" 2015, with Matthew DiGiuseppe International Studies Quarterly 59 (3), 557 -570 Replication Files, Appendix
“Borrowed Time: Sovereign Finance, Regime Type and Leader Survival” 2016, with Matthew DiGiuseppe, Economics & Politics 28(3), 342–367 Appendix
Domestic Politics and International Relations
Re-examining women leaders and military spending with Ulkar Imamverdiyeva (2022) Journal of Peace Research 2022; Replication Files
“Women in Legislatures and Humanitarian Military Intervention" (2016), with Charlotte Christian, forthcoming in Journal of Conflict Resolution Replication Files, Appendix
“Opposition Politics and International Crises: A Formal Model” 2014, with Terence Teo and Jack Levy
International Studies Quarterly 58(4), 741 - 751 Appendix
“External Threats, Capacity, and Repression: How the Threat of War Affects Political Development and Physical Integrity Rights”
with Eugenia Artabe, Sam Chapa and Leah Sparkman (2023) British Journal of Political Science 53(4), 1311-1327
Replication Files, Appendix; External Threat measure
Re-examining women leaders and military spending with Ulkar Imamverdiyeva (2022) Journal of Peace Research 2022; Replication Files
“U.S. Patronage, State Capacity, and Civil Conflict” with Matthew DiGiuseppe (2022) Journal of Politics 84(2): 767–782
Replication Files; Appendix
"Alliances, signals of support, and military effort" with Matthew DiGiuseppe (2021) European Journal of International Relations 27 (4): 1067-1089
“Money Talks: Finance, War, and Great Power Politics in the 19th Century”
2020 Social Science History, 44(2), 223-249.
"War and Default" with Paul Poast, 2019 Journal of Conflict Resolution 62(9), 1876 – 1904. Replication Files, Appendix
“Borrowing Trouble: Sovereign Credit, Military Regimes, and Conflict” 2016, International Interactions 42(3), 401 – 428
Replication Files, Appendix
“Financing Victory: Credit, Democracy, and War Outcomes” 2014, Journal of Conflict Resolution, 58(5), 771 - 795
Replication Files Link, Appendix
International Politics of State Capacity
Book project: Hierarchy and State Capacity (in progress)
“External Threats, Capacity, and Repression: How the Threat of War Affects Political Developmentand Physical Integrity Rights”
with Eugenia Artabe, Sam Chapa and Leah Sparkman, (2023) British Journal of Political Science 53(4), 1311-1327
Replication Files, Appendix; External Threat measure
“U.S. Patronage, State Capacity, and Civil Conflict” with Matthew DiGiuseppe (2022) Journal of Politics 84(2): 767–782
Replication Files; Appendix
Politics of Sovereign Debt
Ethnic Politics and Sovereign Credit Risk with Kathleen Brown and Matt DiGiuseppe
forthcoming in Review of International Political Economy https://doi.org/10.1080/09692290.2023.2225143
Predicting Debt Crises with Matt DiGiuseppe
Why Cronies Don’t Cry? IMF Programs, Chinese Lending, and Leader Survival (forthcoming) Public Choice; Replication Files
"The World is Facing a Debt Crisis but Rich Countris Can Afford to Stop It" The Conversation. October 2022
“Legislative Transparency and Credit Risk” with Jeffrey J. Harden and Justin H. Kirkland
2021 in Legislative Studies Quarterly. https://doi.org/10.1111/lsq.12272
“The Devil's Haircut: Investor-State Disputes Over Debt” with Matthew DiGiuseppe 2019 Journal of Conflict Resolution, 63 (8): 1889 - 1922
Replication Files; Appendix
"Leaders and Default" with Paul Poast 2020 International Studies Quarterly, 64(2), 406–418. Replication Files; Appendix
"War and Default" with Paul Poast, 2019 Journal of Conflict Resolution 62(9), 1876 – 1904. Replication Files, Appendix
“Federalism, Fiscal Stability, and the Creditworthiness of U.S. State Governments” with Markie McBrayer and Justin Kirkland
2019 Statistics, Politics and Policy, 9(1): 1-30.
“Sovereign Credit and Political Survival in Democracies” with Matthew DiGiuseppe (2018) Business and Politics. 20 (3), 360 – 389.
*Finalist for the David P. Baron award for the best article published in BAP in 2018
"Leaders, Tenure, and the Politics of Sovereign Credit" with Jonathan A. Solis (2017) International Interactions. 44 (2), 294 - 320. Replication Materials, Appendix
“Borrowing Trouble: Sovereign Credit, Military Regimes, and Conflict” 2016, International Interactions 42(3), 401 – 428
Replication Files, Appendix
“Sovereign Credit and the Fate of Leaders: Reassessing the Democratic Advantage" 2015, with Matthew DiGiuseppe International Studies Quarterly 59 (3), 557 -570 Replication Files, Appendix
“Borrowed Time: Sovereign Finance, Regime Type and Leader Survival” 2016, with Matthew DiGiuseppe,
Economics & Politics 28(3), 342–367 Appendix
“Financing Victory: Credit, Democracy, and War Outcomes” 2014, Journal of Conflict Resolution, 58(5), 771 - 795
Replication Files Link, Appendix
Leaders
Why Cronies Don’t Cry? IMF Programs, Chinese Lending, and Leader Survival (forthcoming) Public Choice; Replication Files
"Re-examining women leaders and military spending" with Ulkar Imamverdiyeva (2022) Journal of Peace Research; Replication Files
"Leaders and Default" with Paul Poast 2020 International Studies Quarterly, 64(2), 406–418. Replication Files; Appendix
"Leaders, Tenure, and the Politics of Sovereign Credit" with Jonathan A. Solis (2017) International Interactions. 44 (2), 294 - 320. Replication Materials, Appendix
“Sovereign Credit and the Fate of Leaders: Reassessing the Democratic Advantage" 2015, with Matthew DiGiuseppe International Studies Quarterly 59 (3), 557 -570 Replication Files, Appendix
“Borrowed Time: Sovereign Finance, Regime Type and Leader Survival” 2016, with Matthew DiGiuseppe, Economics & Politics 28(3), 342–367 Appendix
Domestic Politics and International Relations
Re-examining women leaders and military spending with Ulkar Imamverdiyeva (2022) Journal of Peace Research 2022; Replication Files
“Women in Legislatures and Humanitarian Military Intervention" (2016), with Charlotte Christian, forthcoming in Journal of Conflict Resolution Replication Files, Appendix
“Opposition Politics and International Crises: A Formal Model” 2014, with Terence Teo and Jack Levy
International Studies Quarterly 58(4), 741 - 751 Appendix
Selected Works in Progress
"Selling Sovereignty: International Coercion, Financial Crises, and Land Transactions"
with Jonas Bunte and Burak Giray
“Women Legislators and Trade Policy” with Ulkar Imamverdi and Pablo Pinto
"What's the deal with debt" (aka multiple projects on the politics of debt with Matt DiGiuseppe)
Book project on the International Politics of State Capacity